I can’t find any forecasts of who will win in Ottawa’s
municipal elections. Thus, I am going to
post my predictions for the mayoral and city council races. I will give them in terms of
probabilities. For instance, my first
prediction will be
Jim Watson 99%
Mike Maguire 1%
which means that I think that Jim Watson has a 99% chance of
winning, and Mike Maguire has a 1% chance of winning. It does not
mean that I think that Jim Watson will get 99% of the vote. Also, the politician I think will win is not
necessarily the politician I want to win. Note: These predictions are reposted from my Google+ account.
I might also use this blog to make predictions about other topics, from time to time (I promise not to talk about really boring topics like the Second Thomas Shoal).