Q113: Will any of the six officers charged in the death of Freddie Gray be found guilty, and if so, will any face jail time?
Yes, and will face jail time: 40%
Yes, but will not face jail time: 20%
No: 40%
(A plea bargain counts as guilty. The initial verdict is all that matters, even if it is overturned on appeal. Further charges against these officers or other officers do not count for this question)
Six Baltimore police officers have been charged in the death of Freddie Gray, who was taken into police custody (see story here). The charges seem to have been unexpectedly fast and serious (I was going to predict the likelihood of charges, but the officers were charged before I had the chance to).
From the news coverage of the story, I have the impression that it will be difficult to get a conviction, especially a serious conviction that would result in jail time. Police officers in these sorts of cases seem to rarely be convicted. Still, this case might be an exception, and the number of charges and officers charged will make convictions easier.
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