LRT Cost Overrun

Q155: Before the end of 2016, will the City of Ottawa be required to increase its contingency fund for LRT construction?
Yes: 65%
(A major (more than $50M) new, unexpected expense connected with the LRT would be sufficient to resolve this question, even if it is not funded through an increase in the contingency fund)

The City of Ottawa is currently constructing the LRT Confederation Line.  It has a $100 million contingency fund to cover unexpected expenses, but most of the fund has already been allocated (see story here).  According to a city official, the contingency fund is at "the low end of what you would expect for a project of this magnitude".

I think that the City will indeed be forced to increase its contingency fund at some point.  The nature of this sort of project is that there are always unexpected expenses, and the most intense phase of LRT construction is just beginning.