Tal Abyad Capture

Q152: When will the IS lose control of Tal Abyad, Syria?
Before June 20th: 35%
Before July 31st: 35%
Not before July 31st: 30%

IS is currently losing territory near the city of Tal Abyad, Syria (see story here).  It seems that the IS is expected to lose control of the city in the near future.  I think it is more likely than not that the town will be captured before the end of July, and that it might well be captured in the next week.