Q165: Will a national referendum on the future of the Senate be announced before the end of 2016?
Yes: 15%
(The referendum does not need to be held, merely announced, by the end of 2016. A referendum without a definite date is fine, as long as there is a firm commitment to hold the referendum. For the purposes of this question, a plebiscite also counts)
There has been a lot of speculation about future changes to the Senate, as the result of recent scandals. Thomas Mulcair, the NDP leader, has promised to abolish the Senate (see article here). Some have suggested that a referendum be held on the future of the Senate (see article here).
I do not think there will a referendum on the future of the Senate in the near future. Canadian federal referenda are relatively rare (the last one was in 1992) and tend to be about larger issues than Senate reform. A more likely outcome is that the Senate will be reformed legislatively and/or through administrative changes
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