Federal Election Date v2

Q99: Will the next federal election take place before October 1, 2015?
Yes: 10%

There is still some speculation that a federal election will be held before the scheduled date (October 19).  A source in the article says that the likelihood of a spring election is "very, very low."  The House of Commons will be ending its current session in June, which seems to be a cut-off for an election call.

I think there is still a non-negligible chance of an early election, since the possibility is still being discussed.  However, there is not much time between the budget and June for the election to be called in.