Portugese Election

Q64: What party will win the most seats in the next Portuguese election?
Social Democratic Party: 29%
Socialist Party: 70%
Someone Else: 1%

The next Portuguese election is scheduled for late September or early October of this year (see the Wikipedia article here).  The Socialist Party currently has about an 8% lead in the polls over the center-right Social Democratic Party (about 37% to 29%).  The other parties are well back (the highest has a 10% vote total).  Portugal has a mixed proportional representation system, so the party leading in the vote total is very likely to win the most seats.

Based on the same methodology as the Greek election, I estimate the Socialist party has about a 70% chance of winning.  If they don't win, the Social Democratic Party is almost certain to win.