Canada Post Moratorium

Q84: By the end of 2016, will Canada Post announce a moratorium on its plan to cease home delivery?
Yes: 30%
No: 70%
(In case of a geographically limited moratorium, the question will be resolved by what happens in Ottawa.  A slowdown in the transition from home delivery is not sufficient, but a temporary moratorium is.)

Canada Post is currently transitioning from home delivery to community mailboxes across Canada, with a estimated completion date in 2018.  In 2015, they are planning to cease home delivery in large portions of the west end of Ottawa.  Opponents of the current plan would like a moratorium on the transition.

The Conservatives support Canada Post's transition plan, while the Liberals and NDP appear to be opposed.  I think that it is very unlikely (10% chance) that the Conservatives will announce a moratorium if they are re-elected.  Although the Liberals have implied that they would support a moratorium, I am far from convinced that they will actually do so if elected.  They are probably more likely to do so if they are in a formal or informal coalition with the NDP, which is quite possible.  Overall, I estimate the Liberals have a 40% chance of announcing a moratorium by the end of 2016, and the NDP have a 90% chance of doing so.   Given my estimate of the federal election result, I get a 30% chance of a moratorium.