By the end of 2015, will a Libyan unity government be formed?
Yes: 20%
The UN has come up with a proposal for a Libyan national unity government (see story here). Libya has suffered ongoing instability since the fall of Muammar Gaddafi in 2011, and the internationally recognized government has lost control of the western part of the country (including the capital, Tripoli) to the Libya Dawn militia alliance. The UN proposal seems to have been dismissed by both sides in the conflict. It seems rather unlikely that a unity government will be formed as a result of it, or through any other means, in the remainder of 2015.
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