Gatineau

Which party will win in the riding of Gatineau?
NDP: 95%
Bloc Québécois: 3%
Liberal: 2%

In the last election, the NDP won in Gatineau with 62% of the vote, while the Bloc got 15%, the Liberals 14% and the Conservatives 8%.  Given the margin of victory in this riding, it would take an almost complete NDP collapse for them to lose this riding.  If they do lose, the Bloc are probably more likely to regain the riding (which they held before 2011).