Questions Resolved in July Part 1

14 questions resolved in July.  I'll look at the first 7 today, and the next 7 tomorrow.

• Q19 (Islamist Terrorism in the US) has resolved for yes, as the Chattanooga shootings count as Islamist terrorism by my broad definition.  I said there was a 35% chance of lethal Islamist terrorist attack in the US in 2015, which might have been slightly too low.
• Q42 (Eve Adams Electoral Success) has resolved for "Not be nominated" and Q192 (Eglinton-Lawrence Liberal Candidate) has resolved for "Marco Mendicino", as the result of the loss of Eve Adams in the Eglinton-Lawrence Liberal nomination race.  I originally said Eve Adams had a 20% chance of not being nominated, and later increased that to 35%.  Those numbers might be too low, but I think it is genuinely surprising that such a high-profile candidate would lose a nomination battle.  She did not get the central party support I originally expected. 
• Q44 (Nepean Conservative Candidate) has resolved for "Someone Else", as Andy Wang has won the nomination.  I said "Someone Else" had a 35% chance of winning.  My odds for Lisa MacLeod in this question were probably too high; I gave her a 50% chance of winning.
• Q56 (Translink Referendum) has resolved for "No", which I said had a 80% chance of happening.  This seems about right; this sort of referendum rarely succeeds, and polling indicated it would fail.
• Q65 (EU Russian Sanctions) has resolved for "Extend the current sanctions" which I said had a 50% chance of happening.  That might have been too low; the status quo is usually the best bet in cases like this.
• Q86 (Federal Funding LRT) has resolved for "yes", as the federal government has promised to fund Phase 2 of Ottawa's LRT project.  I said this had a 65% chance of happening, which is probably too low based on how quickly the funding was announced.