Translink Referendum

Q56: Will the plebiscite requesting a sales tax in Metro Vancouver to pay for transit improvements succeed?
Yes: 20%
No: 80%

A mail-in plebiscite will be held from March to May in Metro Vancouver regarding a transit-directed sales tax (see here).  This is often called the "Translink Referendum".  According to the most recent poll, 53% of voters are opposed, while 38% of voters the sales tax.

I think that the sales tax will probably not pass, given the poll results.  I am less confident of this result because it seems there is only one poll.  Also, mail-in plebiscites might be harder to predict, and their results less well-captured by polls.