NCC Minister

I had prepared this prediction, but not released it.  I need to get better at predicting when things will happen...

Who will be the next Minister responsible for the NCC?
Pierre Poilievre: 70%
Gordon O'Connor: 5%
Royal Galipeau: 5%
Someone Else: 20%

John Baird's resignation has left a gap for Minister responsible for the NCC.  Pierre Poilievre seems to be the front-runner to fill this gap (see the article here), since he is the only Ottawa-area MP currently in cabinet.  Gordon O'Connor has been in cabinet before, but is retiring in the next election.  Royal Galipeau does not seem to be considered "cabinet-ready".  I think that it is quite possible that there could be a non-Ottawa area MP in this role, but there are a lot of candidates in that case.