Saturday, 7 February 2015

Zehaf-Bibeau Video

Q38: Will the video produced by Michael Zehaf-Bibeau be released before the end of 2015?
Yes: 57%
No: 43%
(An unofficial release will count.  A partial (e.g. of a transcript) or censored release would also count, as long as something substantial is released)

Before he committed his October 22 attack, Michael Zehaf-Bibeau produced a video explaining his intentions.  The RCMP is currently in possession of this video, and has no plans to release it.  According to previous statements, the video revealed Zehaf-Bibeau's ideological and political motives.

There have been recent calls to release the video.  The Liberals and NDP support releasing the video.  I think the video will probably not be released if the Conservatives win the election (say a 25% chance of release) and probably will be released if the Liberals (or NDP) win the election (75% chance of release).  Since the Conservatives have a 35% chance of winning, I get a 57% chance of the video being released.

No comments:

Post a Comment