Sunday, 8 February 2015

Sana'a Control

Q39: By the end of 2015, who will control Sana'a (the capital of Yemen)?
Houthis: 75%
Government of Yemen: 18%
Al-Qaeda: 5%
Someone else: 2%
(Control in this question refers to de-facto physical control, not legal control)

In September of last year, the Houthis seized control of the Yemeni capital of Sana'a.  President Hadi resigned in late January, after the shelling of the Presidential Palace.  The Wikipedia article has more details.

I think that the Houthis will remain in control of Sana'a for the rest of 2015.  They might lose control to the Yemeni government (either through diplomacy or military action).  Al-Qaeda might also seize the city, although they seem to be stronger in the south of Yemen.  Finally, it is always possible that some other faction could arise and take control of Sana'a.


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