Q45: When will Mohamed Fahmy return to Canada?
Before April 1st: 20%
Between April 1st and December 31,2015: 50%
Not Before December 31, 2015: 30%
(Only a return to Canada will resolve this question; nothing else will do so.)
Mohamed Fahmy, an Egyptian-Canadian journalist, has been in jail in Egypt, facing terrorism charges due to dubious alleged connections to the Muslim Brotherhood. He was originally arrested in December 2013, was convicted in a trial that was later thrown out in 2014, and is now facing a new trial . He was recently released on bail. An Australian journalist, Peter Greste, who was arrested at the same time, was released on February 1st.
I do not think that Fahmy will be released before the retrial is concluded; this article (which admittedly did not anticipate the bail) comes to that conclusion as well. However, I think there is a good chance that Fahmy will be released at the conclusion of the retrial, either due to a acquittal or a light sentence. The release of Peter Greste and comments by el-Sisi suggest that Egypt would like this controversy to end. It is possible that Fahmy will be detained beyond the end of the year.
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