Q32: What will US real GDP growth be in 2015?
Below 2%: 33%
Between 2% and 3%: 22%
Between 3% and 4%: 20%
Above 4%: 25%
Above 4%: 25%
(Definition Note: The source for this question will be the US Bureau of Economic Analysis. I will use the revised numbers, not the "third" estimates)
According to projections of several forecasters, US real GDP growth is expected to be 2.8% (on average) from the fourth quarter of 2014 to the fourth quarter of 2015. The historical root mean squared error (RMSE) of these forecasts is around 1.8%. These numbers were used to derive the estimate above for annual GDP growth (which should be closely related).
According to projections of several forecasters, US real GDP growth is expected to be 2.8% (on average) from the fourth quarter of 2014 to the fourth quarter of 2015. The historical root mean squared error (RMSE) of these forecasts is around 1.8%. These numbers were used to derive the estimate above for annual GDP growth (which should be closely related).
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