Sunday, 23 August 2015

Korean DMZ Agreement

Before the end of August, will North and South Korea reach some sort of agreement as the result of current talks?
Yes: 60%
(Any agreement would count, even if no details are made public.  If the current round of talks breaks down, the question will resolve as no, even if future talks before the end of August do lead to an agreement)

Tensions in the DMZ between North and South Korea are somewhat elevated at the moment, due to the wounding of two South Korean soldiers by landmines earlier this month (see article here).  North and South Korean negotiators are currently holding talks to attempt to defuse the tensions.  I think that these talks will be successful, in that some sort of agreement or de-escalation will follow from them.  Incidents in the DMZ seem to be quite common (see the Wikipedia article here), but rarely seem to escalate significantly.


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