Orléans

Which party will win in the riding of Orléans?
Liberal: 70%
Conservative: 25%
NDP: 5%

Orléans (formerly Ottawa-Orléans) is very much a swing riding.  In the last election, the Conservatives got 45% of the vote, the Liberals 38%, and the NDP 14%.  Given the erosion of Conservative support, the Liberals will likely win in this riding, although it is possible that the Conservatives could pull off an upset (the NDP are very unlikely to win in this riding).