Kanata—Carleton

Which party will win in the riding of Kanata-Carleton?
Conservative: 75%
Liberal: 20%
NDP: 5%

Kanata-Carleton is another new riding formed for this election, mainly out of Carleton—Mississippi Mills.  It is very similar to Nepean in terms of the vote distribution.  In the territory represented by this riding in the last election, the Conservatives got 54% of the vote, the Liberals 26%, and the NDP 15%.  The Conservatives are probably slightly more likely to win here than in Nepean, because of their higher support in the last election.