Hull—Aylmer

Which party will win in the riding of Hull—Aylmer?
NDP: 85%
Liberal: 13%
Conservative: 1%
Bloc Québécois: 1%

Hull—Aylmer went strongly for the NDP in the last election; they got 59% of the vote, while the Liberals got 20%, and the Conservatives 10%.  It would take a complete NDP collapse in Quebec for this riding to go back to the Liberals, and it is very unlikely to go to the Conservatives or the Bloc.