Ottawa-West Nepean

Which party will win in the riding of Ottawa-West Nepean?
Liberal: 55%
Conservative: 35%
NDP: 10%

Ottawa-West Nepean is very much a swing riding in this election.  In the last election, the Conservatives (running John Baird) won it with 45% of the vote, while the Liberals got 32% and the NDP 20%.  Given the drop in Conservative support, and the loss of Baird, the Conservatives will probably end up losing the riding this time around to the Liberals.  The NDP could win if they do very well in the campaign (and the Liberals collapse).