Friday, 14 August 2015

Hugo Award Best Novel 2015

What book will win the 2015 Hugo Award for best novel?
Ancillary Sword: 30%
The Goblin Emperor: 20%
The Three-Body Problem: 15%
Another Book: 20%
No Award: 15%

There has been some controversy this year over the Hugo Awards, a set of science fiction and fantasy awards, due to the somewhat successful attempts of two conservative groups to nominate slates of candidates. Two of the nominees for best novel (Skin Game and The Dark Between the Stars) seem to belong to those slates.  There seems to have been a strong negative reaction to these efforts, with some planning to vote for "No Award" instead of some or all of the nominees.  See the post here for more details.

My impression is that Ancillary Sword, which seems to be the strongest of the non-slate books, will probably win.  A "No Award" outcome is possible but fairly unlikely, as is a victory for one of the slate books.  The other two non-slate books could also win.

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