Will the federal government run a balanced budget in 2016?
Yes: 75%
(The initial budget presented is all that matters; further revisions do not matter)
There have been a number of developments since my last post on this topic here. In particular, the NDP have promised to run a balanced budget if elected, while the Liberals have said that they will run small deficits. The Conservatives have continued to pledge that they will run balanced budgets. Given the NDP promise, a balanced budget in 2016 seems to be more likely than it was earlier.
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