NHL Expansion

Before the end of 2016, will one or both of Quebec City and Las Vegas be granted NHL franchises?
Both: 55%
Las Vegas only: 25%
Quebec City only: 10%
Neither: 10%
(Both an expansion franchise and a relocated franchise count)

Since my last post, Quebec City and Las Vegas have both advanced to "Phase III" of the NHL's expansion process (see article here).  Las Vegas seems to be very likely to get a team, while there seems to be more uncertainty over whether Quebec City will get a team.  The fact that Quebec City and Las Vegas have both advanced so far in the process is a good sign for both bids.  I am substantially increasing my odds for both, relative to my previous posts.