Will Thomas Mulcair announce his resignation as NDP leader before the end of 2015?
Yes: 20%
Although Thomas Mulcair is currently doing well in the polls, he might well resign if he ends up doing poorly in the election. This is most likely if the NDP fall back into a distant third place in the election, which is possible if not likely. He might also resign if the NDP keep second place, but the Conservatives form another majority government. Expectations for Mulcair are higher than those for Trudeau, so Mulcair is probably more likely to resign if the NDP under-perform.
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