- Reform Act C-586 has resolved for "yes", as the reform act received royal assent in late June (I missed this at the time). I said that this had a 25% of happening, which was probably fairly reasonable given the fate of other similar bills stalled in the Senate.
- Mobilicity Acquistion has resolved for "Rogers", which I said had a 15% chance of happening. I probably overestimated the chance that Mobilicity would be acquired by Telus, and underestimated the chance it would be acquired by Rogers.
- Simcoe North By-Election Date has resolved for "yes", as a by-election is being held tomorrow in Simcoe North. I said there was a 65% chance of a by-election in 2015.
- Ottawa Cleaners Strike has resolved for "Not before the end of 2015", as the cleaners have agreed to a new contract. I said this had a 65% chance of happening.
- Hugo Award Best Novel 2015 has resolved for The Three-Body Problem, which I said had a 15% chance of winning. This was the non-slate book that I thought was least likely to win (and in fact it was not in the top 5 nominated books, and was only on the ballot because two other authors declined their nominations).
- Korean DMZ Agreement has resolved for "yes", as North Korea and South Korea reached an agreement after talks lasting several days. I said this had a 60% chance of happening, which might have been too low.
Wednesday, 2 September 2015
Questions Resolved in August: Other
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Post-Mortem
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