- Federal Election Date (and Federal Election Date v2) were resolved for "On or after October 1, 2015" (and "No"). I originally said a election in October had a 70% chance of happening, which I later increased to 90% in April. Both of these estimates seem reasonable; there was a lot of speculation early in the year about an early election.
- Writ Date Federal Election (and Writ Date Federal Election v2) have resolved for "Before August 15th". I originally said that a writ date that early had a 15% chance of happening, which I later increased to 30%. Both of these estimates might have been a bit too low. I may have put too much credence in the relatively short length of previous campaigns.
- Single Sports Betting has resolved for "No", as the single-event betting law has died in the Senate. I said this had a 75% chance of happening.
- Remembrance Day Holiday has resolved for "No", as the proposed law to make Remembrance Day a legal holiday has died in the House of Commons. I said that it had a 85% of failing.
Tuesday, 1 September 2015
Question Resolved in August: Election-Related
A number of questions were resolved in August because of the call of the federal election:
Labels:
Post-Mortem
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