Q68: Who will win the Ontario Progressive Conservative (PC) Leadership Race?
Christine Elliott: 60%
Patrick Brown: 35%
Monte McNaughton: 5%
The complexion of the PC Leadership race has changed significantly since my last post. In particular, Lisa MacLeod has dropped out to support Christine Elliott, while Patrick Brown has gained momentum. According to recent reports, Patrick Brown has signed up the most new party members, although Christine Elliot had a significant edge in fundraising.
My sense is that Christine Elliot is still the frontrunner; she has the better organization, and probably will do disproportionately well in places with few PC members (which matters given the way the election works). According to recent numbers, Elliot signed up about as many new members as Brown. On the other hand, Brown seems to be the clear second candidate, and is probably more likely to get the second-place votes of McNaughton supporters than Elliott is.
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