Haitian Election

Who will win the Haitian Presidential Election?
Jovenel Moïse: 75%
Jude Célestin: 20%
Someone Else: 5%
(If the current scheduled runoff is rescheduled, then the result of the rescheduled election will count, as long as it is held in 2016.  Initial results count as long as they clearly indicate a winner, even if they are later overturned)

The first round of the Haitian Presidential Election was held on October 25th, and resulted in Jovenel Moïse and Jude Célestin getting enough votes to get to the second round (see article here).  Jovenel Moïse is the favoured candidate of the current president, and Célestin and other opposition figures have accused him of widespread fraud.  Célestin in particular has refused to campaign for the runoff election.  Given that Moïse got the most votes in the first round, and Célestin refuses to campaign, it looks likely Moïse will win.  It is also possible (though unlikely) that someone else could win if the first round election results are somehow invalidated.