Friday, 1 January 2016

Top Global News 2016

What category will the Google top Global News Search of 2016 belong to?
Terrorism/Crime: 30%
Politics/Elections: 25%
Disasters/Diseases: 20%
Riots/Unrest: 10%
Some Other Category: 15%
(see the "Global News" list here for the list for 2015.  If Google changes their categories, a similar category will be used, if available; if not, this question will be voided.)

In 2015, the top global news search was for "Charlie Hebdo" which counts as Terrorism/Crime according to my categories.  In 2014, the top search was "Ebola", which counts as Disasters/Diseases.  Of the 18 topics listed in the last two years, 7 have been in Terrorism/Crime, 2 in Politics/Elections, 5 in Disasters/Diseases, 3 in Riots/Unrest, and 1 in Some Other Category.  I'm going to give the highest weight to Terrorism/Crime, based on the historical data.  Because of the US Election, I'll give Politics/Elections a higher weight than the past history numbers would suggest.  I'll also overweight Some Other Category, because to some extent I chose my categories to fit all of the stories, so the historical data probably underestimates Some Other Category.

My classifications for 2015 were as follows:
Charlie Hebdo: Terrorism/Crime
Paris: Terrorism/Crime
Hurricane Patricia: Disasters/Diseases
Isis: Terrorism/Crime
Nepal: Disasters/Diseases
El Chapo: Terrorism/Crime
Greece: Politics/Elections
Baltimore Riots: Riots/Unrest
San Bernardino: Terrorism/Crime
Hurricane Joaquin: Disasters/Diseases

For 2014,
Ebola: Disasters/Diseases
ISIS: Terrorism/Crime
Malaysia Airlines: Disasters/Diseases
Crimea / Ukraine: Riots/Unrest
Ferguson: Riots/Unrest
Gaza and Israel: Some Other Category
Scotish Referendum: Politics/Elections
Oscar Pistorius trial: Terrorism/Crime

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