Thursday, 31 December 2015

Year-End Post Mortem: Federal Policy

  • No E-Commerce Sales Tax has been announced.  I said there was a 25% chance of such a tax, which might have been too high
  • No enabling legislation involving a National Securities Regulator has been passed.  I said there was a 75% chance of such legislation, which seems much too high in hindsight.
  • No significant changes in Supply Management have been announced.  The changes announced in the context of the TPP don't seem significant enough to count for this question.  I said there was a 10% chance of significant changes, which might have been overconfident.  This is one of those vague questions that I've been trying to move away from.
  • No law has been passed eliminating Census Jail Time (i.e. jail time for not completing the Census).  I said there was a 20% chance of such a law.
  • Construction has not begun on the Victims of Communism Memorial (see my post Victims of Communism Memorial v2).  I said there was a 35% chance of construction starting.

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