Tuesday, 27 January 2015

Supply Management

Q27: Will significant changes in any of Canada's agricultural supply management systems be announced in 2015?
Yes: 10%
No: 90%
(Definition note: A significant change could affect the export tariffs or quotas.  On the other hand, an announcement that "further consultations will be held" would not count as a significant change.  This is a fuzzy question, so it might be difficult to resolve)

With the TPP talks now under way, there is some speculation that Canada's supply management system might be amended.  I do not think this will happen, at least not in 2015.  The current system has strong political support from all parties.  It is unlikely to be significantly altered, at least in an election year.  Also, I am not very optimistic about the TPP talks; it seems to me quite likely that they will fail to reach any sort of substantial agreement.

No comments:

Post a Comment