Palestine ICC Bid

Q6: Will Palestine be accepted as a member of the International Criminal Court (ICC) by July 1, 2015?
Yes: 85%
No: 15%

Mahmoud Abbas, the Palestinian President, recently took the first step toward joining the ICC by signing its founding document, the Rome Statute.  If accepted, Palestine will try to get the ICC to investigate controversial Israeli actions.  Israel and its allies oppose Palestine joining the ICC.

According to most of the commentary I have seen, Palestine is expected to be accepted as a member of the ICC in two months.  According to this article,

Some experts are convinced that the ICC will immediately accept the Palestinians’ application.

 However, this does not seem to be a sure thing.  It does not seem completely clear if Palestine counts as a "state" for the purposes of the ICC.  Also, Palestine could presumably withdraw its application (although I feel this is unlikely).  However, the balance of evidence suggests that the application will be accepted.