Q20: Will the Supreme Court strike down the extradition order of Anthony Barnaby and David Caplin?
Yes: 35%
No: 65%
Barnaby and Caplin, who are Canadian citizens (as far as I can tell), are accused of murdering a pair of women in New Hampshire in 1988. They faced three trials in 1989-1990, all of which ended in hung juries. Prosecutors there are trying to extradite them for a fourth trial. The Quebec Court of Appeal struck down that extradition order. The Supreme Court is hearing the government's appeal to reinstate the order. Hearings started on January 13.
The nature of Supreme Court cases is that there is no obvious result (or else the Supreme Court would never have heard the case). However, I think the Supreme Court will uphold the extradition order; my impression is that extradition orders are rarely overturned. The case of Hassan Diab might be relevant here. If the Court wanted to strike down the order, it could have just not heard the appeal.
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