For my first non-election prediction, I am going to look at crime.
Q1: Will the number of shootings in the City of Ottawa in 2015 be higher or equal to the number in 2014 (49)?
Yes: 25%
No: 75%
There has been a lot of attention paid to the recent spate of shootings in Ottawa. There were 49 shootings in 2014, which is a record. The problem seems to be gang-related, In 2012 and 2013, there were around 30 shootings. I think that the number of shootings will probably be lower in 2015, closer to the 2012-2013 levels. There does not seem to be a clear, overarching reason for the shootings in 2014. It may just be a temporary feud that will settle down in 2015.
No comments:
Post a Comment