Thursday, 3 December 2015

Questions Resolved in November: Election Aftermath

  • No Federal Coalition Government has formed.  In April, I said there was a 10% chance of such a government forming.  It is hard to say, given the election results, whether this was a reasonable estimate.
  • Canada Post Moratorium on ceasing home delivery has been announced.  In March, I said there was a 30% chance of such a moratorium.  I'm not convinced that the Liberals would have announced such a moratorium on their own, but Canada Post decided the issue for them.
  • The Next Parliamentary Session is starting today, in December.  I said parliament had a 20% chance of reconvening in December, and a 60% chance of reconvening before the end of the year.  I probably should have given more equal odds to reconvening in November and reconvening in December.

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