Saturday, 24 October 2015

Next Parliamentary Session

When will the Parliament of Canada reconvene?
Before the end of November 2015: 40%
December 2015: 20%
January 2016: 25%
After January 2016: 15%

Justin Trudeau, the Prime minister-designate, has not yet indicated when parliament will reconvene.  In the elections since 1993, parliament has reconvened between 26 days (in 2011) and 112 days (in 1997) after the election, with an average of 70 days.  Recent years have generally seen parliament reconvene more quickly.  After the two most recent elections in October, parliament reconvened in January (in 1993) and in November (in 2008).

I think parliament is most likely to reconvene in either January or November, with November being slightly more likely.  The holidays make a session starting in December less likely.


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