Rideau Canal Opening

When will the Rideau Canal Skateway officially open in the 2016 season?
In January: 75%
In February or March: 20%
The Skateway will not open in 2016: 5%
(In order to trigger this question, only part of the Skateway needs to be opened.)

There has been some speculation that the Rideau Canal will not open for skating this year, because of the relatively high temperatures in Ottawa (see articles here and here).  Since 1971, the canal has always opened eventually; the latest it has opened was February 2nd in 2002.  Although temperatures have been higher than normal, and are expected to continue to be so, I still think the canal is likely to open in January (possibly late January), given the past history.  Not opening at all would be very surprising indeed.  Given the past 44 years of data, I think there is only a negligible chance that the canal will fail to open.