Year-End Post-Mortem: Control

I had a number of questions about who would control various hotspots by the end of the year:

• The Donetsk Airport is still under the control of the Donetsk Rebels.  I said there was a 70% chance of this.
• Mariupol is still under the control of Ukraine (see my post Mariupol Control).  I said there was an 85% chance of this.
• Sana'a is still controlled by the Houthis (see my post Sana'a Control).  I said there was a 75% chance of this.
• Kobani is still controlled by the Kurds (see my post Kobani Control).  I said there was a 65% chance of this.
• Damascus is still controlled by the Syrian government (see my post Damascus Control).  I said there was a 90% chance of this.
• Debaltseve is still controlled by the Donetsk rebels (see my post Debaltseve Control).  I said there was a 77% chance of this.
• Mosul is still controlled by the Islamic State (see my post Mosul Control).  I said there was a 40% chance of this.
• Kunduz is now controlled by the Afghan government (see my post Kunduz Control).  I said there was a 60% chance of this.

It is notable that all of my end of year control questions seem to have resolved in favour of the organization that controlled the city when I created the question.  I may have been slightly under-confident in guessing that the status quo would continue.