Friday, 24 October 2014

Purpose of this Blog

I can’t find any forecasts of who will win in Ottawa’s municipal elections.  Thus, I am going to post my predictions for the mayoral and city council races.   I will give them in terms of probabilities.  For instance, my first prediction will be
Jim Watson 99%
Mike Maguire 1%
which means that I think that Jim Watson has a 99% chance of winning, and Mike Maguire has a 1% chance of winning.  It does not mean that I think that Jim Watson will get 99% of the vote.  Also, the politician I think will win is not necessarily the politician I want to win.  Note: These predictions are reposted from my Google+ account.
I might also use this blog to make predictions about other topics, from time to time (I promise not to talk about really boring topics like the Second Thomas Shoal).

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