Mark Taylor 70%
Alex Cullen 30%
Mark Taylor won the last election with 37% of the vote in
comparison to Cullen’s 30%. The race in
the last election was more chaotic, with Terry Kilrea and Shawn Little also
receiving 8% and 6% of the vote respectively.
Given that most of the Kilrea and Little voters will gravitate towards
Taylor rather than Cullen, and the significant incumbency advantage, I expect
that Taylor will win in this election as well.
On the other hand, in the last election, voters may have been angry at
Cullen for his last-minute decision to run for the ward as a “consolation
prize” instead of the mayoralty. That
would no longer be true this year.
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