Post-Mortem: Courts

• Jian Ghomeshi was acquitted in his recent trial (see my post Jian Ghomeshi Verdict).  I said there was a 65% chance that this would happen, which might have been a bit low given how strongly the conventional wisdom at the time suggested that Ghomeshi would be acquitted.
• Mike Duffy was acquitted on all counts (see my posts Mike Duffy Verdict and Mike Duffy Jail Time).  I said there was a 15% chance that he would be completely acquitted, and a 65% chance that he wouldn't face jail time.  The 15% estimate might have been too low, although complete acquittal didn't seem like what the conventional wisdom suggested at the time.
• The Supreme Court found mandatory minimum drug sentences unconstitutional (see my post SC Drug Sentences).  Last May, I said there was a 70% chance that this would be the Supreme Court's finding, which may have been a bit conservative.