Jian Ghomeshi Verdict

Will Jian Ghomeshi be found guilty of any of the charges against him?
Yes: 35%
(The initial verdict in the current trial is all that matters.)

Jian Ghomeshi is currently on trial for the sexual assault of several women (see articles here and here).  The current consensus seems to be that Ghomeshi will not be found guilty, because the defence did a good job in raising doubts about the main witnesses' credibility.  At the same time, the consensus seems to be that Ghomensi would be found guilty on a "balance of probabilities" basis.  Due to the latter, I am giving a higher estimate than I would otherwise give.