Year-End Post-Mortem: Global Miscellaneous

• The Islamic State's actions in Palmyra count as destruction, in my view (see my post IS Palmyra).  I said there was a 40% chance of such destruction.  In hindsight, this question was a bit too vague as to what counted as destruction.
• There was a Puerto Rico Default in August.  In May, I said there was a 20% chance of such a default.  I'm not sure if this was too low or not.
• Russia did not withdraw its ambassador to Turkey (see my post Russian Ambassador Turkey).  In November, I said there was a 25% chance of such a withdrawal, which might have been too high.
• There was also no Turkish apology for the downing of the Russian fighter jet (see my post Turkish Apology Russia).  I said there was a 25% chance of this as well.
• There was no US law approving the Keystone XL pipeline in 2015 (see my post Keystone XL Approval).  I said there was a 20% chance of such a law.
• The US repealed its country of origin meat-labelling laws in December (see my post US Meat Labelling Laws).  In May, I said there was a 25% chance of such a repeal in fall 2015, and a 65% chance of a repeal before the end of the year.  I think those estimates were about right.
• I have decided to void my Paris Climate Deal Binding question, as there are differing reports as to whether the deal is binding,  I should have been more specific with this question.