Q158: Who will win the next Argentinian Presidential Election?
Daniel Scioli: 40%
Sergio Massa: 15%
Mauricio Macri: 35%
Someone Else: 10%
Since my last post about the Argentinian election, there have been some developments in the polls. Scioli has gained slightly, Macri has gained significantly, and Massa has fallen significantly. The latest polls suggest a 2-way race between Scioli and Massa at 33%, with Massa at 14% (see Wikipedia article). Given that, I am increasing my odds for Macri, and decreasing them for Massa. My odds for Scioli are going down slightly as well. I have seen no suggestions of other candidates, so I am decreasing my odds for "Someone Else".
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