Greek Bailout

Q163: When will a deal be reached regarding the release of further bailout funds to Greece?
On or before June 30th: 40%
In the month of July: 20%
Not before August: 40%
(The deal does not have to have been ratified by the parliaments of the countries involved)

There have been continuing talks regarding the release of further bailout funds to Greece (see sample article here).  Greece's creditors are demanding further austerity measures in return for more funds.  Negotiations do not seem to be doing well.  There seems to be a deadline of June 30th for the talks, as a Greek payment to the IMF is due on that day.  The IMF has indicated that it is not willing to extend the deadline.

I am very uncertain about what will happen here.  The most likely outcomes are probably that a deal will be reached before the deadline, or the deadline will be extended beyond the end of June (and probably July too).  It is also possible that Greece will simply default on the IMF payment, or something more complex than any of the above scenarios will happen.  I am giving the most non-committal odds I can.