Sunday, 17 May 2015

Guatemalan President

Q126: Before September 1st 2015, will Guatemalan President Otto Perez Molina leave office?
Yes: 15%

A recent corruption scandal in Guatemala has led to the resignation of the vice president.  There have been large-scale protests and calls for the president to resign as well (see article here).  Elections, for which the current president is ineligible, are to be held in early September.

My sense is that Molina will probably not resign as a result of the current protests.  His connection to the corruption scandal seems to be fairly indirect, and the calls for him to resign fairly weak.  He will be leaving office after the September election anyway.

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