Ramadi Capture

Q118: By the end of 2015, will the Islamic State capture Ramadi?
Yes: 40%
(Ramadi means Ramadi city centre.  If the Islamic State captures, but later loses control of, Ramadi, it still counts)

There has been ongoing fighting in the Iraqi city of Ramadi between the IS and the Iraqi government (see Wikipedia article here).  The IS controls much of the city, but the city centre is still controlled by the Iraqi government.  The IS has launched several attacks to try to get control of the city centre (see articles here and here).

My sense is that the fighting in Ramadi could go either way.  However, given that the IS has been trying to capture Ramadi for the past 5 months without success, I do not think it is more likely not to succeed before the end of the year.