Q132: What will be the result of the 2015 Federal Election?
Conservative Majority: 15%
Conservative Minority: 35%
Liberal Minority: 20%
Liberal Majority: 10%
NDP Minority/Majority: 20%
Since my last projection, the NDP have gained substantially, while the Liberals have faded slightly. Some polls suggest a three-way race between the Conservatives, NDP, and Liberals. threehundredeight.com seems to still be projecting that the NDP will be trailing by a fair margin. I am increasing my odds for the NDP and decreasing them for the Liberals and Conservatives.
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